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Time for some forward thinking on Patriots
JIMMY GAROPPOLOTime to go
By Ben Volin
Globe Staff

Whew, what a week. If you’re like us, you spent the last seven days rewatching and reliving the Patriots’ improbable win in Super Bowl LI. We’re still in disbelief that the Patriots won that game.

But now it’s time to move on to 2017 — as Bill Belichick lamented, his team is five weeks behind the rest of the NFL.

(Well, not really, because the Patriots’ scouts have been doing predraft work the whole time. It’s just Belichick and Nick Caserio who need to catch up on the draft process. And Belichick can’t be too concerned, as he spent the weekend golfing at Pebble Beach.)

Last week, colleague Jim McBride broke down the Patriots’ 53-man roster in terms of who is under contract and who is a free agent. Now let’s take a look at the moves we think the Pat­riots should make:

1. Trade Jimmy Garoppolo — He might be the next big thing, but Tom Brady isn’t going anywhere for a few years, and we believe the wheels for a Garoppolo trade were set in motion when the Patriots drafted Jacoby Brissett in the third round last year. Surrounding Brady with talent should be the Patriots’ top priority, and they have a valuable asset in Garoppolo. Trading him before the draft, rather than in training camp, is a must — a player today is more valuable than a player tomorrow. The three teams we’ve mentioned all along still appear to be the most likely trade partners — Cleveland, Chicago, and San Francisco. The his­tory of trading quarterbacks with only a few NFL starts says that the Patriots should expect a second-round pick in return. Matt Cassel (15 starts) was packaged with Mike Vrabel and fetched a second-rounder; Kevin Kolb (seven starts) a second-rounder and Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie; and Matt Schaub (two starts) two second-rounders and a swap of first-rounders. The Browns hold two first-round picks (Nos. 1 and 12), and the Patriots should absolutely try to get No. 12 for Garoppolo. But if they can only get a second-rounder, the Patriots should still bite — New England holds the 32nd pick, while the Browns have 33, the 49ers 34, and the Bears 36. The Patriots could be sitting pretty in the draft with two picks in the 30s.

2. Franchise Dont’a Hightower — Of all of the Patriots’ impending free agents, Hightower is the most important. He’s the captain of the defense, the green-dot communicator who calls plays and helps get everyone lined up. Not to mention, he’s a heck of a versatile linebacker, one of the Patriots’ best run stuffers and pass rushers who makes timely plays (see: the fourth quarter of the Super Bowl). The Pat­riots don’t have an obvious replacement if Hightower leaves — Kyle Van Noy was the backup communicator, but he’s no Hightower as a player — and the defense would take a major step back if he leaves. If the Patriots can’t get a deal done before free agency begins March 9, they should franchise-tag Hightower (projected around $14.5 million) and continue working on a multiyear deal before the July 15 deadline.

3. Re-sign Alan Branch — The Pat­riots’ big defensive tackle was arguably their most consistent player throughout the year and a dominant run stuffer, particularly in the Super Bowl. Branch, 32, just finished a two-year, $5.4 million contract, and something in that range makes sense again.

4. Negotiate a long-term deal with Malcolm Butler — The Patriots’ No. 1 cornerback won’t be going anywhere. Butler is a restricted free agent, and the Patriots will place a first-round tender on him. This will guarantee him a salary of about $4 million in 2017, though if he signs with another team (highly unlikely), the Patriots would get that team’s first-round pick in return (the Patriots get the right to match any offer, as well). The Patriots should then look to sign Butler to a multiyear deal. Since he will make about $4 million in 2017 and the franchise-tag number in 2018 should be between $14 million-$15 million, any contract for Butler should start at about $19 million over two years.

5. Bring back Danny Amendola, but redo his deal — While he never became the nextWes Welker, and was relegated to a fourth-receiver role this season, Amendola has proven himself to be a clutch and important part of Brady’s arsenal. He’ll have to take a massive pay cut again — from a $6 million salary probably down to the $1.5 million range — but Amendola deserves to return.

6. Re-sign LeGarrette Blount to a one-year, incentive-laden contract — It sure worked out well for all sides this season. Blount signed a one-year deal last offseason that included a minimum $760,000 salary and only $100,000 guaranteed. He came to camp motivated and in great shape and responded with career bests of 1,161 rushing yards and 18 touchdowns. Blount achieved every incentive (more on that later) in his contract, earning a total of $1.75 million for 2016. Blount loves it in New England, and, as long as he’s willing to sign a similar contract, the Patriots should bring him back.

7. Play hardball with Logan Ryan, Martellus Bennett, Jabaal Sheard, Duron Harmon, and Chris Long — Ryan is the only one on this list that we would have a tough time losing, but he may have priced himself out of the Patriots’ plans with his excellent play this season (the Lions, with former Patriots executive Bob Quinn at GM, make sense for Ryan). Otherwise, the Patriots should set a number for Bennett, Sheard, and Harmon, and let them walk if they can get more money elsewhere. Long had a nice season for the Patriots, but he doesn’t have much left in the tank, while Bennett didn’t do enough to justify a big contract, in our opinion. Other than Ryan, the Patriots would probably rather have the compensatory picks these players would fetch than re-signing them.

8. Draft a kicker —Stephen Gostkowski missed five extra points this season, including two in the playoffs, and couldn’t correct a slice that hindered him all season. The Patriots should take a kicker in the later rounds of the draft, or, at minimum, sign a priority free agent rookie then hold an open competition with Gostkowski, who is under contract for two more years and carries $3 million in dead cap money.

9. Search for bargains in free agency — The Patriots aren’t afraid to sign free agents, but they don’t usually break the bank (Chris Hogan, Brandon LaFell, and Shea McClellin are good recent examples). We’re just picking names out of a hat at this point, but tight ends Luke Willson and Ryan Griffin, pass rusher Courtney Upshaw, and cornerbacks Johnthan Banks and Nolan Carroll look like decent fits that could be had for the right price.

10. Draft needs: DE, CB, S, TE, RB, LB, OT — This will change after free agency, but the Patriots definitely need to improve the defensive line, fill holes in the secondary, and start rebuilding the defense for the future.

EXTRA CREDITS

Which Patriots met incentives?

Let’s take a look at a few notable Patriots and whether they achieved the incentives in their contracts:

■ Julian Edelman had a $500,000 incentive for achieving any of the following: 1,057 receiving yards; 70 catches and seven touchdowns; 80 catches and 13 wins; 80 catches and a Super Bowl appearance. Edelman finished with 98 catches for 1,106 yards and three touchdowns, plus 14 wins and a Super Bowl title. He needed to reach just one of those four criteria to pick up the incentive, and he met three of them. Edelman also earned a $250,000 bonus for participating in offseason workouts and $750,000 for playing in all 16 games ($46,875 per game).

■ LeGarrette Blount had $750,000 in bonuses tied to his rushing yardage — $50,000 each checkpoint of 700, 750, and 800 yards, and $100,000 each for 850, 900, 950, 1,000, 1,050, and 1,100 yards. Blount finished with 1,161 yards, so he earned all $750,000. But he missed out on a $250,000 bonus for making the Pro Bowl on the original ballot.

■ Alan Branch had $750,000 in incentives — $250,000 each for playing 50 percent of the defensive snaps, 55 percent, and 65 percent. Branch played 59.9 percent of snaps in the regular season, so he should earn $500,000.

■ Marcus Cannon had a $250,000 incentive for playing 80 percent of the offensive snaps, and he was at 92.2 percent in the regular season. He also earned $100,000 for making weight three times during the offseason.

■ Chris Long had $250,000 for 55 percent of defensive snaps and $250,000 for 65 percent. He finished the regular season at 64.9 percent, so we’ll assume he earned the full $500,000.

■ Nate Solder, Shea McClellin, Ryan Allen, Nate Ebner, Matthew Slater, Sebastian Vollmer, and Blount all had bonuses for making the Pro Bowl on the original ballot. Only Slater earned his ($100,000).

■ Backup tackle LaAdrian Waddle was active for only two games this season, so not only did he miss out on $700,000 in incentives, he earned only $25,000 of a possible $200,000 in game-day roster bonuses ($12,500 per game).

ETC.

Another new deal for Brady in store

A few more Patriots notes following the Super Bowl:

■ The buzz is that the Patriots want to rip up Tom Brady’s contract and sign him to a new three-year deal. The Patriots just redid his deal last March to adjust it for Deflategate, giving Brady a $28 million signing bonus on a four-year deal and lowering his 2016 and 2017 base salaries to just $1 million to minimize the damage done by a four-game suspension.

Brady’s current contract calls for him to make just $1 million in 2017, then $14 million each in 2018 and 2019, plus an extra $1 million each year in per-game roster bonuses ($62,500 per game). It’s the first time Brady’s contract has ever had bonuses tied to him being active on game day. His cap numbers for the next three years are slated to be $14 million, $22 million, and $22 million.

However the Patriots redo his deal, it will be nearly impossible to lower his 2017 cap number, as he will almost certainly make more than $1 million in base salary. They also have to account for $13 million in signing-bonus prorations from his previous contracts. Brady has always taken below-market deals — the one he signed last March was for four years and $60 million — and $60 million over three years ($20 million per season) seems reasonable this time.

■ One reason the Patriots traded Jamie Collins in November? We’re told he was insulted by the Patriots’ contract offer last season (in the $10 million-$11 million per year range) and took it personally, letting it sour his attitude. Collins recently signed a deal with the Browns that will guarantee him $26 million over the first two years. Other Patriots such as Malcolm Butler, Logan Ryan, and Dont’a Hightower also turned down low-ball offers but didn’t let it affect them.

■ Your snap count winners for the season: On offense, David Andrews eked past Joe Thuney, 1,359 snaps to 1,358 (out of 1,363 in 19 games). Thuney lost a shoe and had to come out for one play against the Texans in the playoffs. The Patriots had five offensive players participate in at least 90 percent of snaps — the five starting offensive linemen. On defense, Devin McCourty led the way with 1,208 snaps out of 1,230 (98.2 percent). Butler (1,192, 96.9 percent) and Patrick Chung (1,173, 95.4 percent) were the only others above 90 percent.

■ Fanatics, a retail/e-commerce partner of the NFL and other sports leagues, reports that Patriots fans are going crazy for championship gear. According to the company, the Patriots sold as much team gear in the first 12 hours after Super Bowl LI as they did in the first seven days after Super Bowl XLIX two years ago. And to date, the Patriots have outsold the 2015 title merchandise by 130 percent.

Extra points

Key dates to remember this offseason: The Scouting Combine runs from Feb. 28-March 6. On March 7, teams are permitted to speak with free agents from other teams, though they cannot sign a contract. On March 9, the NFL calendar officially flips to 2017 at 4 p.m. At this time, trades can be executed, free agents can sign with any team, and every team must be in compliance with the Top 51 rule of the salary cap (only the top 51 of 90 contracts count against a team’s salary cap). The annual owners meetings will be held March 26-29 in Phoenix, with the Raiders’ potential relocation to Las Vegas one of the big items on the docket. Teams with new coaches can begin their offseason workouts on April 3, while every other team begins on April 17. The NFL Draft is April 27-29 in Philadelphia. Franchise-tagged players have until July 15 to sign a contract extension. Training camps begin in late July, and the Hall of Fame Game is set for Aug. 3 . . . As the trade talk for Tony Romo heats up, remember that his contract makes it tricky. Romo has a salary-cap number of $24.7 million, but with a whopping $19.6 million in dead money if the Cowboys trade or release him. We’ve maintained all along that the Cowboys would be better off keeping him as insurance for Dak Prescott in 2017. But if they are dead-set on moving him, designating him as a post-June 1 release makes the most sense. In that scenario, they could split his dead money evenly ($9.8 million in 2017 and 2018), while a trade or pre-June 1 release would force them to take a $19.6 million hit in 2017. The big benefit from trading or releasing Romo comes in the form of cash — the Cowboys would save $14 million in salary . . . Count us among the outraged that Terrell Owens not only didn’t get elected to the Pro Football Hall of Fame, he didn’t even come close. While Owens was among the 15 finalists, he did not make the cut to 10, which is preposterous given how talented and effective he was as a player. And several voters told us that some of the voters in the room were dead-set against Owens as a Hall of Famer, meaning he might never get voted in unless and until there is major turnover among the voters. This is one process — with only 48 voters determining the fate of Hall of Fame candidates, with no public accountability — that needs to be overhauled.

Ben Volin can be reached at ben.volin@globe.com. Follow him on Twitter @BenVolin. Material from interviews, wire services, other beat writers, and league and team sources was used in this report.