Is good karma my teammate this season?
Among my Week 1 picks were Jacksonville (+5) over Green Bay and the Jets (+2½) over Cincinnati. The Jaguars lost but covered, 27-23, to the Packers, and New York also lost but covered, 23-22, to the Bengals. Two wins for me, totaling $250.
With The Bettor’s Edge being published prior to the weekend, the spreads we use are from Thursday. By kickoff Sunday, those two lines had moved. The Jags were down to +3 and the Jets were down to +1. With those updated spreads, I would have pushed on my $150 New York wager, and lost outright on my $100 Jacksonville wager.
Typically, line moves near kickoff crush me. For example, if I take the Dolphins at +6½ in this space, and the line moves by kickoff to +7½, it’s a lock the Patriots would win by 7. We’ve all been there, in one form or another.
That type of bad luck is in the rearview mirror, though. The tone has been set for 2016.
This week’s picks (home team in caps):
Green Bay (-2) over MINNESOTA: The devastation of Minnesota quarterback Teddy Bridgewater’s injury will be apparent shortly after US Bank Stadium hosts its first regular-season kickoff. Risking $110 to win $100.
Tennessee (+5½) over DETROIT: Look inside the Titans’ 25-16 home loss to the Vikings and you’ll notice two defensive touchdowns from Minnesota. Marcus Mariota is the type of quarterback who learns from his mistakes, and he’ll find it much easier to maneuver against the Lions defense. Risking $110 to win $100.
Atlanta (+4½) over OAKLAND: The Raiders opened with a nice win at New Orleans, but that outcome appears to have inflated this number. Bet on the competent Atlanta offense and take the generous head start. Risking $110 to win $100.
Miami (+6½) over NEW ENGLAND: I mentioned this game, so I have to take it. The line does seem inviting if you’re inclined to take the Patriots, and that makes me want to go the other way. Risking $110 to win $100.
Last week: 3-2, plus $130.
Ed Ryan can be reached at edward.ryaniii@globe.com. Follow him on Twitter @EdzoRyan.